Brent oil slumps under $50 for first time since 2009

7th January 2015, Comments 0 comments

European benchmark Brent oil sank under $50 on Wednesday for the first time since 2009, hit by OPEC's stance on maintaining its current production levels, market oversupply, weak demand and the strong dollar, analysts said.

In morning London deals, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in February dived to another 5.5-year low at $49.66 a barrel, last seen in late April 2009.

"Brent crude broke through the psychologically-significant $50 a barrel this morning," said analyst Craig Erlam at trading firm Alpari.

"The fact that traders barely even hesitated at this level makes $40 a barrel for Brent crude look extremely likely."

US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for February also tumbled on Wednesday to a similar low at $46.85, having already collapsed under the symbolic $50 level on Monday.

Oil also sank as the euro hit another nine-year low at $1.1843 on lingering fears that Greece could leave the eurozone if an anti-austerity opposition party wins a general election on January 25.

The strong greenback makes dollar-priced oil more expensive for buyers using weaker currencies, and this weighs on demand and prices.

- Momentum is everything -

"The move below $50 shows how momentum is everything here," CMC Markets analyst Michael Hewson told AFP.

"With no sign that OPEC will do anything about over-production, it seems likely that we could well see further declines towards $40 in the coming weeks -- particularly given that demand shows no signs of picking up.

"Weak growth and weak demand in China and Europe are likely to continue to be the main drivers as the battle for market share intensifies. We will probably still see sharp swings in the interim but the direction of travel seems clear, unless OPEC acts."

Traders were meanwhile awaiting the weekly snapshot of crude inventories in the United States, which is the top global consumer.

Brent later stood at $50.47, down 63 cents from Tuesday's close. WTI was 46 cents lower at $47.51.

The oil market had also slumped Tuesday to multi-year lows in another stormy day for global financial markets, as OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia blamed weak global economic growth and declared it will stick to its guns on crude production policy.

On Monday, Saudi Arabia had reportedly cut its European and US export prices in order to maintain market share.

Oil has lost more than half its value since June 2014 owing to a global supply glut and slowing growth in major world economies that has hurt demand.

Losses accelerated late last year after the 12-nation Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cartel decided not to cut output in response to lower prices and oversupply.

- 'No end in sight' -

"As far as the slide in oil prices is concerned, there seems to be no end in sight for now," added analyst Markus Huber at broker Peregrine & Black.

"There is too much oil on the market partially due to sluggish growth in the eurozone and slower growth in China."

OPEC opted in November to keep its oil output ceiling at 30 million barrels per day (mbpd) despite ample global supplies.

Analysts said the move was aimed at stifling competition from new market players with higher costs -- in particular US shale oil producers.

However, while some well-heeled OPEC members are playing a long game to protect their market share in the face of a US shale boom, other oil giants are struggling to balance the books.

Venezuela, Nigeria and Iran, and major non-OPEC oil producer Russia, are desperate for prices to recover.

"With OPEC unwilling to make major cuts in oil production as it wants to retain its market share ... and other countries like Russia whose economy is in decline not able to afford any (oil output) cuts, the imbalance between too much supply and only moderate demand seems to persist for the foreseeable future," added Huber.

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© 2015 AFP

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