Ukraine conflict at 'crossroads' as troop deaths shake truce

27th February 2015, Comments 0 comments

International monitors said Friday the conflict in Ukraine was at a "crossroads" as further losses among government forces rattled a two-week-old truce just as it seemed to be gaining traction.

The deaths of three Ukrainian soldiers after a two-day lull in clashes with pro-Russian separatists highlighted the fragility of the ceasefire.

The envoy to Ukraine for the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), which is monitoring the peace deal, told the UN Security Council that while there were encouraging signs, the country still risked all-out war.

"We seem to be at the crossroads, where we are facing the risk of a further escalation of the conflict or where common sense, responsibility, and humanity shall prevail and we may be able to walk on the road to peace," envoy Heidi Tagliavani told the 15-member council.

The Security Council's meeting on the conflict came a year to the day after Russian and pro-Moscow forces began occupying strategic sites on the Black Sea peninsula of Crimea.

Russia formally annexed the territory in March 2014, triggering an international furore. The uprising in Ukraine's east, which has claimed at least 5,800 lives, began the following month.

Ukrainian military spokesman Andriy Lysenko said Friday that three soldiers were killed and seven injured in the past 24 hours.

No fatalities had been reported over the previous two days, raising hopes that the February 12 ceasefire brokered by Germany and France might hold.

Kiev said that, while fighting had halted along most of the frontline, there were still clashes in villages around the ruins of Donetsk airport, one of the most fought-over prizes in the conflict, which fell to the rebels last month.

Both sides, however, said they were continuing to withdraw heavy weapons from along the frontline, a key part of the plan to end ten months of bloodshed.

Kiev said Thursday that it had started withdrawing 100-mm cannons, while the rebels claim they had nearly completed their pull-back.

Monitors from the OSCE on the ground, however, told AFP that while they had seen weapon movements on both sides it was too early to confirm that a full withdrawal was taking place.

An AFP photographer on Friday saw monitors inspecting around two dozen Ukrainian artillery pieces, which were then towed in the direction leading away from the frontline.

- 'Threat from the east' -

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko cautioned Friday that the withdrawal was "just a first, test step".

"At any moment our soldiers are ready to return our weapons to their previous positions and rebuff the enemy," he told a group of soldiers.

Even if the peace held, Russia would continue to threaten Ukraine, he said.

"Even if there is a lengthy truce that leads to a political solution and long-term peace, the military threat from the east will unfortunately remain."

Russia's annexation of Crimea sparked the worst East-West standoff since the Cold War.

The West is hoping the UN-backed truce deal negotiated by Russia, Ukraine, Germany and France in Minsk earlier this month can prevent a further escalation.

NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg has welcomed the downturn in violence but demanded Moscow withdraw the weapons it is accused of sending across the border in support of the rebels.

"They have to withdraw this equipment and they have to stop supporting separatists," he said.

- Threat to gas supplies -

The United States and European Union have warned Russia -- which has been hit by successive rounds of sanctions over Ukraine -- could face fresh economic punishment if the peace process unravels.

Moscow has itself ratcheted up the pressure by warning it could cut off gas supplies to Ukraine -- and, by extension, to parts of the EU.

Ukraine and Russia confirmed that they would attend urgent EU-brokered talks in Brussels Monday to try to resolve a dispute related to Moscow's move to start direct supplies to rebel-held areas.

Moscow last year cut off gas deliveries to Ukraine before turning the taps back on in December after making cash-strapped Kiev pay in advance for its supplies.

Now, Russian state-owned gas giant Gazprom is saying that Ukraine has only paid enough to cover gas supplies to the end of the week.

Ukraine says that Russia masterminded the rebellion in the east to punish Kiev for pursing closer ties with the West following the February 2014 ouster of Kremlin-backed president Viktor Yanukovych.

Russia accuses the West of orchestrating the anti-government protests in Kiev that sealed Yanukoyvch's downfall.

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© 2015 AFP

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