Dutch population tipped to fall in 2035
11 April 2005, AMSTERDAM — The number of Dutch residents is rising at a relatively low rate and will decline by 30 people each day in 2040, the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) said on Monday.
11 April 2005
AMSTERDAM — The number of Dutch residents is rising at a relatively low rate and will decline by 30 people each day in 2040, the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) said on Monday.
The CBS, known as Statistics Netherlands, said the Dutch population will grow on average by 92 residents per day in 2005. This is in comparison with 443 per day in 1970.
Immigration has ceased to be the power behind population growth since 2003. Reduced employment levels, a weaker economic climate, and tougher immigration laws have made the Netherlands less attractive for immigrants.
The CBS forecast that a greater number of people will emigrate than immigrate in 2005, as occurred in 2004. It said the Netherlands will lose 49 people per day due to immigration this year.
However, the population will increase by 92 people each day. This is due to the birth rate still topping the death rate. This will change in 2027, when the death rate is tipped to exceed the birth rate.
This is in comparison with 1970, when the population grew by 443 people per day. An average of 655 births was recorded each day, compared with 300 deaths.
The Dutch population at that time was relatively young and natural population growth was the engine for total population growth, supported by a positive immigration intake.
The CBS forecast that from 2040 onwards the population will start to fall by 30 people per day, due primarily to the higher death rate.
At that point, the death rate will exert the biggest influence on population growth. There will be 110 more deaths than births per day in 2040.
Despite the fact that the balance of immigration will increase again in coming years, it will not be enough to prevent a decrease in population.
The Netherlands will become an 'immigration land' again in coming years (as opposed to an emigration land) and in 2040, the number of immigrants will top the number of emigrants by 72 per day.
The turning point from population growth to decline will start in 2035.
[Copyright Expatica News 2005]
Subject: Dutch news