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22/11/2008America in 2025: from global dominance to global partnerships

The might of the world's greatest superpower - the USA - is set to decline over the next twenty years.

America's political, economic and military dominance will give way to new powers such as China, India and Brazil, says the influential American National Intelligence Council (NIC).
 
The NIC paints a rather gloomy picture of America's position in the world by the year 2025. But the decline of the US has in fact already begun, says George Joffé, who is a lecturer at the Cambridge International Studies Centre in Britain.
 
America's actions in Iraq and other parts of the world have contributed to that decline, he says, but there are more reasons:
 
"Simply because of the growth of the Chinese economy and the growth of the so-called ‘BRICs' - that's Brazil, Russia, India and China. And it's been clear for some time that a multi-polar world was emerging".
 
Concerns
 
This may be good news for these so-called ‘BRIC'-countries (and others as well), but there are some concerns over America losing its dominance. It may endanger the situation in Middle East, for instance, says Joffé. Its role in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict could come under fire (and would certainly weaken), as are its interests in Iran and the whole Gulf region, especially when it comes to access to the oil fields.
 
 The leaders of India, Russia, China and Brazil
The leaders of India, Russia, China and Brazil 
                      (photo: kremlin)   
 
But there are more concerns. The world may become a more dangerous place without a strong American leadership, says the NIC report. In fact, the chances of a nuclear attack will increase. Simon Wezenman of the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute is not surprised by this prediction:


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