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Misleading reports hide the real picture of the property market, writes our expert Mark StucklinWhat’s really going on in the Spanish property market?
Some alarming things have been written about the Spanish property market in recent articles like ‘Survive the Costa property crash’ (Sunday Times, April 29), ‘Costas house price crash’ (Times, April 27), ‘Euro helps topple Spanish property’ (Telegraph 25 April), and ‘Spanish property boom ends’ (Financial Times, April 24). Based on the headlines you would think that the Spanish property market was in an advanced state of collapse. This is not actually the case.
The event that inspired all these gloomy articles was a share price correction of property companies quoted on the Madrid stock exchange, as jittery investors dumped construction stocks in April. At the time of writing shares of property companies are some 25% below their February highs. One company – Astroc – is down over 80%, though that still leaves it 120% up over 12 months – a great annual investment return by any measure.
The fall in property share prices was overdue and somewhat expected after speculation had pushed up prices too far. Much of the press reporting glossed over the stock market context, giving the misleading impression that it was the Spanish property market in trouble. Of course trouble in the stock market is not good news for the property market, as it reveals increasing pessimism about Spain’s housing market. But falling stock market confidence and property share prices it is not the same as a housing market crash.
In fact, the reality of Spain’s property market’s performance in the last quarter is not as bad as you might think from recent articles, but not as good as the official housing price figures from the Government imply. Spain’s decade long real estate boom is over, and it is a buyer’s market, but it is also a complex situation of regional markets performing in different ways.
Latest figures on the Spanish property market
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