German unemployment falls sharply in September

30th September 2010, Comments 0 comments

The number of unemployed in Germany fell twice as fast as expected in September, boosting the outlook for consumption in the economy, Europe's biggest, which is setting the pace of European recovery.

The unadjusted rate of unemployment dropped to 7.2 percent of the workforce, official data showed on Thursday.

"This is the lowest level since November 2008," ING senior economist Carsten Brzeski noted.

"On time for the 20th anniversary of German reunification, the German labour market has become a real success story," he added.

The number of people seeking work fell by a seasonally-adjusted 40,000 to 3.031 million people, the federal labour office said. Economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast a more modest decline of 20,000.

German unemployment stood at an unadjusted 7.6 percent in August and the level in September marked the 15th consecutive monthly decline.

The fall pushed the adjusted jobless rate down to 7.5 percent from 7.6 percent in August.

On Tuesday, Chancellor Angela Merkel forecast the number of unemployed might fall below the politically significant level of three million by the end of the year.

"We may get to three million or perhaps slightly below," Merkel said after the economic research group GfK reported that German consumer sentiment was at a three-year high, largely as a result of improvements in the labour market.

The labour office said the strong decline in September was a result of "the economic recovery and a typical surge in the fall" when young graduates often begin working.

"There is strong corporate demand for workers," added Frank-Juergen Weise, who heads the office.

Earlier on Thursday, the IG Metall trade union said it had accepted a 3.6 percent wage increase for around 100,000 workers in the steel sector after initially calling for a 6.0 percent pay hike.

Brzeski noted that "looking ahead, today's labour market report bodes well for private consumption.

"Dropping unemployment numbers should bring psychological support for consumers, increasing the feel-good-factor."

The export-oriented German economy could also get more support from business investment, the Ifo economic research institute said.

"Another acceleration of the pace of expansion is expected toward the end of the year, as many firms will want to take advantage of the favourable depreciation terms that expire at the end of 2010," Ifo said.

© 2010 AFP

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